静候市场反应…

今天周五，是点票日…很明显，市场的流动性薄弱，非常薄弱，而我正试图从价格的跳动和盘整走势中进行分析的时候。我很惊讶市场瞬间产生如此大的波动。我预期今天价格会以较平缓的方式带动今天的走势，但明显，市场感觉是另外的一种情况。我希望亚盘时段，所有的情况都能有所冷静下来，美元兑日元在不到5分钟的时间内下挫300点，并创出了比我预期的备选点位还低11个点的低位，这个预期备选目标是我1年多以前标示的…我不得不说，我并没有预期下跌到这个程度。

同样的，其他货币对也处于失控状态，坦白说，最好还是让市场自己冷静下来。眨眼间2%-3%的价格波动情况，是不利于交易操作的。

忽略价格运行动能不考虑，以及目前所有标准的技术都失效的情况下，我正进一步观察我的图表上的价格结构。最近对价格形态结构产生些问题—因为行情发展中出现太多的价格跳动和噪音—但从我的组合来看，我仍然认为美元会成为主要受益者—英国退欧还是不退欧，从美元指数上看需要下破5月3日的价格低点即91.92。

总体而言，一旦点票结束，尘埃落定，我感觉市场会出现稳定的方向走势，小心看待…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Waiting for the reaction…

It’s Friday. They’re counting the votes… Quite clearly, the market liquidity is thin, very thin and while I was attempting to go through the analysis the whips and swings made life difficult. However, I have been surprised how the market has moved so much. I had expected a quieter lead into the day but clearly the market felt otherwise. I had hoped that the Asian session, things should begin to calm down somewhat but a 300 point drop in USDJPY in the space of less than 5-minutes to make a new low 11 points below an alternative target I have highlighted for over one year… I have to say I was not expecting that drop.

Equally, the other currency pairs have gone haywire and frankly it will be better to allow the market to calm down. Moves of 2%-3% in a blink of an eye are not conducive to trading.

From my charts, forgetting momentum and all the standard incumbent techniques which will be irrelevant in these circumstances, I am looking at the structures. I have had problems with the structures recently – too many whips due to the lower degree noise – but from the combination I have, I still feel the Dollar is going to be the main beneficiary – Brexit or no Brexit. In the Dollar Index we’d need a break below the 3rd May low at 91.92.

In general, once the vote is over and done with, I do feel we are going to see some substantial moves. Be aware…

Good trading

Ian Copsey