欧盟时刻—行情走势预测

全球市场似乎在回避与欧盟相关的事情。Christine Lagarde的影响难以鼓舞人心，我们也越来越接近下周退欧公投的时间。全球股票市场疲弱，并普遍预期世界经济将面临冲击，这是一个严峻的考验。

欧元兑美元未能展开进一步上行，英镑兑美元短暂尝试展开反弹修复无效后，稍后甚至跌破了1.4114低位。价格走势情况很难展现令人振奋的预期，令我觉得意外, 价格展开更深度回调的预期倾向每次都受到打压。虽然总体来讲行情看上去不会出现太多的上行走势…但话虽如此，有些货币对的价格运行也来到了结束浪的关键位置，所以我们需要对美元的一些潜在下跌走势做准备—但坦白来讲，相对于欧系货币对，市场很明显渴望推动美元往更高点位运行。这种情况甚至也适用于澳元。

同时，日元货币对也延续跌势—美元兑日元跟随美元的下跌趋势，而欧元兑美元的走势也推动欧元兑日元的持续下行。坦率地说，价格走势看起来意味着趋势会延续，即便价格运行在犹豫之间以8个点的差距下破前期低点105.54.

所以，我们正见证着一些有趣的时刻…如所有的一起都失效，那么就买入美元，但要小心美元兑日元的走势发展…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

That EEEEE-u moment

The world’s markets are shunning anything to do with the EU it seems. The Christine Lagarde development is hardly encouraging any sympathy as we approach the Brexit referendum next week. Global stock markets have weakened and the general expectation of a larger fall-out for the world’s economy does seem to be a stark threat.

EURUSD failed to make any further gains and even GBPUSD broke below the 1.4114 low after a brief attempt at a recovery. It’s hardly an encouraging outlook and has surprised me – my pference for a deeper pullback have been stifled each time. It certainly doesn’t look like we’re going to see much upside, if at all… Having said that, there are a few pairs that reached key ending waves so we do need to give respect to the potential for some Dollar downside movement – but frankly the market is very obviously hungry to keep pssing the Dollar higher against the Europeans. This is even applicable to the Aussie.

Meanwhile, the JPY pairs also extended losses – USDJPY appearing to follow the Dollar losses while EURUSD also pssures EURJPY to the downside also. Frankly, it looks like we’ll see that trend continue even if the market baulked breaking the 105.54 low by just 8 points.

So, we are witnessing some interesting times … If all else fails, buy Dollars but take care in USDJPY…

Good trading

Ian Copsey