欧元兑美元日内走势预测

日内图

BIAS：行情似乎将出现一个三角形走势以完整构筑走势结构

主要分析：价格直接运行到1.1400-16的推演不凑效。相反，看起来似乎将在浪b/v出现相对较大的三角形形态，可能持续的时间是整个从1.1249运行到浪a / v的价格发展的2倍…这意味着

三角形态的倒数第二条价格腿大约在1.1383-88（过程中也要注意1.1375-79区间，出现较低级别的浪iii，后续会出现大概20个点的修正）。结合1.1383-88区间的压制考虑，三角形形态最后一个价格腿应大概在1.1346-50。价格走势一旦出现，随后应该会进一步上行到1.1400-07区间—允许上行到1.1416。关注看跌反转信号的出现以确定阶段性高点，之后价格会出现明显的下跌…

反向分析：价格直接跌破1.1324，将触发下跌走势。下一个支撑位大概在1.1250-70区间，但可能后续不会出现太多的修正。也可以考虑1.1215-20的支撑…

价格维持在1.1420上方，将有进一步上行到1.1423-45的风险…但这表明1.1373这个高位是个中部高点，后续出现三角形走势，然后最后一个价格腿将运行到更高点位…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY OUTLOOK FOR EURUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     We appear to be seeing a triangle that still needs to reach completion

Resistance:    1.1375-79       1.1383-88       1.1407-16       1.1428

Support: 1.1346-50       1.1324    1.1303    1.1250-70

MAIN ANALYSIS:    The more direct route to 1.1400-16 just didn't work. Instead it seems as if we are seeing a comparatively huge triangle in the Wave b / v that looks like it will last for double the time for the entire development from 1.1249 to the Wave a / v… This suggests a penultimate leg of the triangle around 1.1383-88. (En route note the 1.1375-79 lower degree Wave iii and followed by a correction of 20 points approx). With the 1.1383-88 area capping the final leg of the triangle should be around 1.1346-50. Once seen, we should then see a move higher to the 1.1400-07 area - allow for 1.1416. Watch for bearish reversal indications to confirm a high that should see firmer losses...

COUNTER ANALYSIS:   Only a direct break below 1.1324 would trigger direct losses. The next support looks to be around 1.1250-70 but may not generate much of a correction higher. Also consider the 1.1215-20 support...

Only above 1.1420 would risk further gains - towards 1.1423-45... but this would suggest that the 1.1373 high was the intermediate high, followed by a triangle and then the final legs higher...

Good trading

Ian Copsey