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昨天真是难熬的一天。如出现在美元兑日元和欧元兑日元里的细微浪v,走势奇特的欧元兑美元似乎情绪高涨,英镑兑美元仍未明确是否选择退欧-澳元也不想再承压运行。我感觉行情可能更多的还是处于昨日奇特的形态结构内运行,但或许波动的范围和幅度不如昨日。
从欧系货币对4小时级别的价格均衡云图来看—欧元兑美元靠近不断上升的云层,而美元兑瑞士法郎则提示仍有些震荡整理走势。这往往意味着欧元有进一步上行的空间,而美元兑瑞士法郎则有横向整理的空间。当然,风险在于,特别是欧元兑美元和英镑兑美元,可能会进入休眠状态(整固走势),因距离退欧公投只有最后2周的时间了。
美元兑日元没有走出一个次新低令我觉得有点恼火。价格走势状况令我感到有点疑惑,价格运行发展并没有出现强势的反转信号,价格上方有4小时价格均衡云图压制。我觉得还是有些可能稍值得考虑的余地。欧元兑日元往高位修正走势的完成可能是一个疑点。因此,这对两个货币对的未来走势发展带来了难度,我们需要保持足够的警觉,以辨识有指引价格运行方向意义的破位走势的出现,或许美元兑日元会出现另一个新低...
澳元的走势表现良好,在预期目标区间创出了阶段新高—但随后往更低点位修正,之后出现次新高。这往往意味着行情将出现复杂的修正—也就是我们需要另一个新高点出现…
祝交易顺利。
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
No Flippin’ Coordination
My goodness yesterday was a tough old day. Instances of mini-minor Wave v’s in USDJPY and EURJPY, a hellishly freakish EURUSD that appears to be on legal highs, GBPUSD that can’t make up its mind whether to vote for Brexit - or not - and an Aussie that doesn’t want to be beaten. I have a feeling that we may be in for more of yesterday’s weird structures but perhaps not quite an extensive as yesterday.
We have 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds in the Continental Europeans – closer in EURUSD with a rising Cloud while there is quite a gap above price in USDCHF that still allows some swings to develop. It tends to suggest further gains in EUR and room for wriggles in USDCHF. Of course, the risk is that, in particular, EURUSD and GBPUSD could go into hibernation (aka consolidation) as we approach the final 2 weeks up to the Brexit vote.
I was ptty annoyed that USDJPY couldn’t manage a minor new low. It puzzles me a little bit that we have had no strong reversal indications while the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud is bearing down on price. I think a little leeway is probably worth considering. This is doubled by the apparent completion of a correction higher in EURJPY. Thus, given the complications in both pairs, we’ll need to be savvy enough to recognise the break levels that would point out that we may need another new low in USDJPY…
The Aussie worked well to make a new high in the expected target area – but then corrected lower and was followed by a minor new high. This tends to suggest that we may well be seeing a complex correction – but also that we still need another new high…
Good trading
Ian Copsey