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即市策略

市场在等待--行情走势预测

 今天是个不寻常的一天,市场已经转换了防御模式,毫无疑问价格走势将维持现状直到明天的非农数据公布。昨天出现了些较明显的破位走势,将行情带入了更复杂的预期展望中,走势情况至少持续一个月的时间。美元兑日元未能持续上行,英镑兑美元也出现下跌,两者的价格发展情况增加了复杂性。我不确定这是否将意味着这两个货币对,会特别延续昨天的走势运行。不过,从欧元兑日元的走势发展中应能找出一些线索,解决欧元兑美元和美元兑日元的价格运行发展问题

与美元兑日元和英镑兑美元出现的破位走势情况相反,其他欧系货币的运行表现显得更加稳定一些。我不认为今天是充满交易机会的一天,但这两个货币对应会有更加稳定的运行发展,除非他们出现更为复杂的修正结构,这将会结束偏中立的走势预期。总的来讲,我希望美元走弱,但似乎缺乏动能带动。

澳元做了它自己应该做的事。我怀疑今天它将会和昨天一样,但我不期待今天澳新地区会出现大幅波动。可能今天整天维持横向整理走势至少维持一部分时间。

正如上述。我觉得今天的价格波动幅度有限……

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

The market waits

Well, that was quite a day and one that has taken the market into defensive mode that will no doubt last until tomorrow’s NFP release. There were some quite significant breaks seen yesterday that are taking us into a more complicated outlook that should last for another month at least. USDJPY failed on the upside and GBPUSD on the downside, both of which will add to complications. I’m not sure this will mean that these two, in particular, will follow-through from yesterday’s move which will thrust us back from where we have just come. However, there are some clues from EURJPY that should enable us to work with EURUSD and USDJPY…

In contrast to the breaks seen in USDJPY and GBPUSD, the Continental Europeans were more consistent. I can’t suggest that this will be a great trading day but these two should have a more steady outlook unless they turn into more complex corrective patterns that could end up in a neutral outlook. Generally, I’m expecting Dollar losses but hardly robust.

The Aussie did what it had to. I suspect it will do the same today but I’m not expecting a massive day for the Antipodean. It could even take a day moving sideways – at least for part of the day.

So I’ll leave it as described above. I just don’t see a day of great movement…

Good trading

Ian Copsey