市场现状没有改变---行情走势预测

我很希望价格运行能突破窄幅的盘整区间。价格看起来似乎随后将会出现大幅度的运行发展，重回循环路径。4小时价格均衡云图—多空分水岭的限制---或许是主因，但这种区间震荡肯定不会再持续多一天…欧系货币对有些昏头转向，目前价格多空两个方向都没什么障碍。价格今天应会突破运行区间。同时，我维持英镑兑美元的看涨观点，价格走势辗转并抗拒再次下行—价格仍维持在重要支撑上方（极限支撑点位）。

欧系货币对今天应会作出努力，突破目前的盘整僵局，从4小时横向整理的价格云图中选择方向。英镑兑美元除外，其他欧系货币对的发展情况不会对其走势产生太大的推动力影响…

澳元也是未能出现有效突破。澳元也是和欧系货币对同一阵营：价格低迷的运行状态缺乏积极性。4小时云图也是呈现横向整理势态。我觉得价格转而上行的可能性大些，但需要等待信号确认…

至于美元兑日元…价格走势混乱。被最后一个修正到110.58的较小价格腿所蒙骗，价格通道被突破后顺势下行。下行幅度应会进一步扩大—但这需要一个艰辛的过程。如果说产生有任何可能性的价格运行导向的话，那就要数欧元兑日元这个货币对了—引起其价格的震荡运行—所以需要关注欧元兑美元走势在其中的影响。这个交叉货币对的价格走势非常崎岖，但我觉得价格需要出现强势破位，而且欧元兑日元下方没有太多的空间—而美元兑日元似乎在逐步走低。所以,如果可以的话,欧元兑美元将承担更多的责任来带动交叉货币对往更高的点位运行…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

No change to the status quo

I had hoped, so much, that we’d begin to see a break of the mini-range trading. It almost looked as if it would happen but then collapsed in what looks to be a recycling. The 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds – the fine line between bullish & bearish – were the culprits but there surely can’t be another day of this range trading… The Continental Europeans must have been drugged to the hilt considering there were really hardly any barriers to either side to the market. Today should see this range break. At the same time, GBPUSD which I had really looked for gains, fumbled and gave up to tumble even lower – although remained above important (but extreme) support.

This should be a day for the Europeans to make a stronger effort to break away from the current impasse by choosing to develop a gap from the 4-hour Clouds that are moving sideways. Well, GBPUSD is an exception but it wouldn’t take much to push it one way or the other…

Even the Aussie failed. Well, it was very much on the lines of the Europeans: lacklustre and lacking in any form of enthusiasm. It too, is grappling with a lateral move in its own 4-hour Cloud. I still feel the upside is the more likely direction but just wait for confirmation…

As for USDJPY… arrgghh... what a mess. Fooled by a more than mini-minor correction in the final legs up to 110.58, the channel support broke and has seen losses. There should be more - but this is going to be a tough outlook. If there is any possible guidance it should come from EURJPY – that has also caused some whipsaws – so we’re going to have to watch the influence of EURUSD in this mix. The cross has been a complete pain in the ass-ociation but I can’t help feel that a stronger break is needed and EURJPY doesn’t really have much space on the downside – while USDJPY appears to be edging lower. So there’s quite a lot of onus on EURUSD to drag the cross higher… if it can…

Good trading

Ian Copsey