市场风起云涌--行情走势预测

我只想说“美元已经反转”。我觉得行情有每一个发展的可能机会，但也存在一些问题。首先，在美元兑日元的价格运行中发现一个潜在的上行推动结构。我觉得这个结构还没有完成，但同样地即便价格创出新高也需要出现回调修正。

至于欧系货币对，货币对走势各不相同。美元相对欧系货币对的走强，但英镑兑美元反而逆势上行。美元兑瑞士法郎日线级别图表里，价格甚至突破了楔形整理上方…我不得不深入研究，尝试

核准内部之间的冲突情况，但坦白说，要在一个有限的时间里进行全面的分析，不要指望有太多的进展。目前，从美元受4小时级别价格均衡云图的支撑情况来看，以及结合模糊，粗略的反转信号，价格似乎仍将维持看涨状态，但需要多加小心看待。

我也注意到澳元兑美元走势发展未能重回0.7366高位。昨日提及过，价格会有下行风险，但其发展也有合理的限制因素。只要价格能企稳就会往高位反转。任何下方压制位的突破将令价格维持下行走势—但价格运行有机会出现看涨背离信号。

今天下午我需要研究价格结构的发展情况，希望能找出解决方案。不过，或许需要来一剂佩托比斯摩…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

The market’s bowels are rumbling

I am neutral for now. Yesterday was a nasty day. Apart from GBPUSD and AUDUSD (and leaving out a neutral EURJPY) the structures in the rest of the bunch failed completely. So much so, that even the Dollar Index poked its head above 95.20…

I would like to just say, “the Dollar has reversed.” I think there’s every chance of that but there are some problems. First, I have seen a potential bullish impulsive structure in USDJPY. I don’t think it has finished but equally even on a new high there has to be a pullback.

As for the Europeans, well, they are a mixed bag. The Dollar gained against the Continentals while GBPUSD rushed higher against the Dollar. There was even a break above a wedge high in the daily USDCHF chart… I had to scour deep to try and ratify all these conflicts but frankly, in such a limited time to make a thorough analysis, I have not really been able to make sense of the counts in any of them. For the moment, with the Dollar being supported by the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds and only vague, sketchy reversal indications the outcome appears to still be bullish but a lot more care is now required.

I’ll also note AUDUSD that failed to break back above the 0.7366 high. I did point out the downside risk here yesterday but there is a reasonably clear limit to this. As long as it supports there can be a reversal higher. Any break of that limit would maintain the downside – but we do have a chance of a bullish divergence.

I shall be working on the structures this afternoon and hope to find a solution. However, a dose of Pepto Bismol may be required…

Good trading

Ian Copsey