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即市策略

澳元兑美元走势预期展望

日内图

BIAS:价格走势出现下跌之前,应会重回0.7367-05区间(最高触及0.7426-45范围)。

阻力位

0.7295-00

0.7319-33

0.7367

0.7390-05

支撑位

0.7244

0.7219

0.7190

0.7150-65

主要分析:浪iii出现在理想点位0.7242上方2个点左右的位置,0.7244…因此,目前我们需要价格出现修正到0.7367-0.7430的走势(最高触及0.7437)。当价格运行逐步发展时,留意看跌信号的出现。这应该会以3浪形式下行到大概0.7150-90之间的点位。从此价格区域,预期会出现往更高点位运行的深度修正走势

反向分析:价格如出现直接上行到0.7450上方的意外情况,将会令价格走势重回上升轨道上方阻力位0.74780.7500-13的阻力强度一般,较强阻力位在0.7545-55范围。

价格运行直接跌破0.7240,将意味着走势发展与预期结构不相符,需要关注价格运行的动能情况。

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文:

OUTLOOK FOR AUDUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:      We should now see a  move back to 0.7367-05 (max 0.7426-45) for losses

Resistance:    0.7295-00       0.7319-33       0.7367    0.7390-05

Support: 0.7244    0.7219    0.7190    0.7150-65

MAIN ANALYSIS:        The Wave iii was satisfied 2 points above the ideal 0.7242 - at 0.7244... Thus, we are now in a correction that should reach the 0.7367 area initially but later I feel the 0.7390-0.7430 area (max 0.7437). Thus, as this is approached, watch for bearish reversal indications. This should prompt a 3-wave decline down to somewhere between 0.7150-90 approx. From here we shall need to expect a deeper correction higher.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:    Only directly above 0.7450 would surprise and mess everything up… There are minor barriers at 0.7478 and 0.7500-13 - and stronger at 0.7545-55

Only directly below 0.7240 would imply that I have the wrong structure and we'll have to watch momentum conditions.

Good trading

Ian Copsey