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日内图
BIAS:价格走势或会出现反转上行到122.95-15点位的情况,又或者出现下探121.66-95区间的横向整固走势情况。
|
阻力位 |
122.95-15 |
123.36 |
123.61 |
124.06 |
|
支撑位 |
122.32 |
122.13 |
121.66-95 |
121.30-40 |
主要分析:昨日价格运行延续收复之前跌势,触及122.90点位,随后回落到122.32。价格运行范围内往任一个方向突破将会呈现两种不同的境况。
价格上行触及122.95-15区间应能完成平台浪的修正走势,收复之前的跌势。希望美元兑日元能给其价格运行带来驱动…
反向分析:如昨日所述,今天的备选方案—价格如下破122.30将会引发下跌走势的展开,以不规则三角形的方式运行,触及大概121.90-95区间,然后出现往更高点位的最终修正走势。从这个高点开始,价格或会下行到120.38-70…不排除进一步下行到119.90。
任何直接上破123.25-30的价格运行将令走势情况变得复杂,但我怀疑不应在这种情况下去尝试做交易,因为价格已接近日线级别的低点,应更多地关注价格阶段性最终底部的出现…
祝交易顺利。
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
OUTLOOK FOR EURJPY
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: We should either see a move up to 122.95-15 for a reversal or a dip to 121.66-95 in a sideways consolidation
Resistance: 122.95-15 123.36 123.61 124.06
Support: 122.32 122.13 121.66-95 121.30-40
MAIN ANALYSIS: The recovery continued over the day to reach 122.90 followed by a pullback to 122.32. A break of either side of the range will provide one of two scenarios:
A move up to 122.95-15 should complete the expanded flat correction from where losses should resume. We can expect USDJPY to drive this I think...
COUNTER ANALYSIS: As suggested in yesterday's alternative - a break below 122.30 would risk losses in an irregular triangle to around 121.90-95 for one final correction higher. From this high we should see losses 120.38-70… I cannot rule out as deep as 119.90.
Any direct break above 123.25-30 would complicate things but rather than try and trade about this, I suspect that, because we're due a daily low, we should focus more on looking for a final base...
Good trading
Ian Copsey