澳元兑美元日内走势预测

 日内图

BIAS:     价格恢复上行走势之前，需要确认价格低点出现的位置。

主要分析：价格运行经历了另一个走势发展困难的一天，昨天价格创出一个小新高，随后急速下跌至0.7732。依据回撤比例（50%）可以开始考虑，价格是否将会直接收复跌势或者展开更深度的回调。感觉0.7785-90区间有一定程度的阻力，我并不认为从0.7732开始的反弹是属于推动走势。因此，我倾向于价格继续下探低点的另一个预期，价格运行到0.7732下方并且或触及到0.7679-99区间。

留意看涨反转信号的出现，将引发价格继续上行至更高点位，0.7800上方并进一步回到0.7834上方。之前的投影目标0.7912和0.7940保持不变。

反向分析：价格只要跌破0.7655-60，将预示有进一步下滑到0.7618-31低点的风险，但也可能进一步扩大下行走势，甚至至少会触及到0.7570低位…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD

INTRADAY CHART:

BIAS:     We need to confirm a low for gains to resume

Resistance:    0.7769    0.7785-90       0.7834    0.7848

Support: 0.7732    0.7699    0.7679    0.7660

MAIN ANALYSIS:   Another difficult day with a minor new high but then the sharp drop that reached 0.7732. In terms of a retracement (50%) we have to start considering whether price will resume gains directly or from a deeper retracement. I feel the 0.7785-90 area has decent resistance and I'm not yet convinced that the recovery from 0.7732 is impulsive. Therefore, I probably favour another dip lower, below 0.7732 and down to between 0.7679-99. Watch for bullish reversal indications that should trigger gains back higher, above 0.7800 and back to 0.7834 and above. The 0.7912 and 0.7940 projection targets remain intact.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:     Only a break below 0.7655-60 would risk slippage down to 0.7618-31 but may well extend even deeper back to 0.7570 at least…

Good trading

Ian Copsey