英镑兑美元日内走势预测

英镑兑美元日内走势预测

日内图

BIAS：结构出现倾向于上行发展的更大的区间震荡范围，但重心应该稍微低一些。

主要分析：价格上行突破1.4321，基本排除了延续下行驱动浪走势的可能。不过，我希望价格能出现下行调整，但这似乎会以复杂修正形态的方式体现。允许价格仍有些上涨的走势出现，之后价格或会自高点1.4347附近向1.4300-22区间运行，但总体而言，应会出现较明确的下跌走势，价格或会触及1.3993左右的区间。一旦下行走势结束，价格将会往更高点位运行发展。

反向分析：也需要考虑另外一种情况出现的可能性。因为价格从1.4004开始恢复上行是以3浪的形式展开，因此有出现复杂修正的风险。如价格在1.4004低位能再次得到有效支撑的话，价格运行将有机会反转到更高点位的可能，以另外一种复杂的修正形式推进。因此，从目前价格运行情况表现来看，需要警惕风险出现，最好仔细观察看跌结构的发展情况-推动形式还是修正形式…

中期分析：4月13日：横向区间交易方式或会持续到5月份…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:      The structure has a wide range of upside possibilities but the emphasis should be lower

Resistance:    1.4276    1.4293-97       1.4322    1.4347

Support: 1.4225-50       1.4196    1.4170    1.4140

MAIN ANALYSIS:     The break above 1.4321 has basically broken any chance of a direct follow-through in an impulsive decline. However, I do expect losses but this appears to be more in a complex corrective pattern. There is room for a break above the 1.4347 high towards the 1.4300-22 area - so allow for it - but overall we should be looking for quite firm losses that could reach around the 1.3993 area (+/-). Once this decline is complete we shall require another correction higher and could be quite deep.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:     There is one alternative outcome that we must also consider. Because the recovery from 1.4004 came in 3-legs, there is the risk of a complex correction here also. If that 1.4004 low holds again, there is a chance of a reversal higher in a possible alternative complex correction. Therefore, as can be seen, there are quite a few risks to watch out for and therefore it'll be best to observe carefully to how the bearish structure develops - impulsive or corrective...

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

13th April:  Risk is for a period of sideways range trading that could last into May...

Good trading

Ian Copsey