美元兑日元日内走势预测

美元兑日元日内走势预测

日内图

BIAS:  今天或会出现部分跌势修复行情

主要分析：市场经历了一个有趣的单向过山车行情。每一个价格阻力区间都显得脆弱，价格逐一突破阻力，延续下行到更低点位。看涨反转的信号还没有出现—除了一个小型头肩底形态以外，这个形态或会带动价格反弹到109.55-85区间。这可能触发价格上行突破108.45上方。话虽如此，但在小时图级别的价格均衡云图上，位于108.45-47之间确实也出现提示信号。因此，保持耐心，等待价格上行破位，随后价格会进一步运行到4小时价格均衡云图上，目前显示在109.75-110.10区间（并由此开始下行）。基于假设价格头肩底的形态生效的前提下，这将会是今天最可能出现的市场修复行情走势。

反向分析：价格只要跌破昨日低点107.66，将延续下行走势。如破位情况出现在测试小时级别的价格均衡云图后，那么价格走势将面临至少下行到107.29-45的风险。如运行到此价格区域，则需要谨慎对待。进一步下行目标位于106.90-00范围。

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR USDJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     I feel we may see a limited recovery today

Resistance:    108.45-57       108.90-96       109.30-35       109.55

Support: 107.89-06       107.66    107.29-45       106.90-00

MAIN ANALYSIS:     Oh gee… the market had a fun ride on a one-way roller coaster. Every area I thought may hold just withered as price pounded lower. I can't even say that there are any bullish reversal indications - because there aren't any - except a minor inverse head and shoulders that could take it up to around 109.55-85. This would be triggered on a break above 108.45. Having said that we do have the hourly Price Equilibrium Cloud between 108.45-57. Thus, be patient and await a break above that should take price up towards the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud, currently at 109.75-110.10 (and declining.) This will likely be the most we see today assuming the inverse head & shoulders is triggered.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:     Only a break below yesterday's 107.66 low would extend losses. If this comes after testing the hourly Price Equilibrium Cloud then there may be a risk of losses to 107.29-45 at least. From there take care. There is also a mildly deeper projection at 106.90-00

Good trading

Ian Copsey