欧元兑美元日内走势预测

日内图

BIAS： 价格运行到1.1187-00区间下方，将回复下行走势

主要分析：价格展开下行走势，靠近1.1173-77区间下方，或进一步触及1.1159。价格或会在1.1187-00区间受阻，下行至1.1146，价格运行势能稍微强大一点的话，或者进一步下行到1.1130。即便价格下行到此点位，在进一步下跌到大概1.1076附近或触及1.1057之前，价格运行也只会出现较简单的回撤—大概30个点左右。届时注意观察看涨反转信号的出现，价格会往更高点位修正—修正幅度可能会比较大。

反向分析：不过，即使价格是处于这种阶段，但只要上行突破1.1200-10（下行通道上沿线），价格就有可能重回1.1252-60区间，并将意味着之前的结构判断失误。同时也要关注1.1306和1.1336-42的阻力情况。

中期分析：

3月18日：不能说看跌预期失效。没有更强的看跌反转信号出现之前，是比较难明确价格的发展情况。价格至少将会下破1.1057下方或者可能下行到更低点位…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:           While 1.1187-00 caps we should see losses resume

Resistance:    1.1187-00       1.1223    1.1238    1.1260

Support: 1.1130-46       1.1095-00       1.1076    1.1057

MAIN ANALYSIS:       Losses were seen but edged below 1.1173-77 to reach 111.59. This should see the 1.1187-00 area cap for losses towards 1.1146 and a slightly stronger possibility of 1.1130. Even here the pullback should be relatively shallow - around 30 points - before losses to around 1.1076. Allow for 1.1057. Watch for bullish reversal indications for a correction higher - and could be quite deep.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:     Still, even at this stage, only a break above 1.1200-10 (the declining channel high) would take price back to 1.1252-60 and will mean that I may have misjudged the structure. Also note the 1.1306 resistance as well as 1.1336-42.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:  

18th March:   I can't say the bearish outlook has been broken. Without strong bearish reversal indications it is difficult to state a definite outcome. This will take a break below 1.1057 at a minimum and pferably lower...

Good trading

Ian Copsey