更多的咖啡因--行情走势预测

市场使用了咖啡因—或者甚至是饮用了大量的功能饮料。真可怕，有否听说过狐步舞？我觉得市场是在葬礼挽歌上表演这个舞蹈。这种情况足以能令我昏睡26个小时…

争论过后，行情至少出现了之前我们所寻找的内容—但发展非常缓慢。发展速度可以加快吗？我敢肯定不可以，但其中负责的团体仍然保持着缓慢的前进速度。总的来讲，英镑兑美元的走势表现更明确些，但看起来像热血忽然涌进大脑的感觉。正因为如此，这种价格运行表现往往意味着将会出现更深度的价格调整。同时，欧元兑美元和美元兑瑞士法郎的走势情况看起来将有助于延续美元的上行趋势，但还不能说，两个欧系货币的发展情况将会给予英镑的走势发展带来同样的作用…

澳元方面，价格运行已到达了第一反转目标，价格运行滞缓并出现周期循环走势的迹象—这往往提示将有较大的风险出现。价格走势情况会否给英镑兑美元的价格运行带来同样的作用，而欧系货币的滞缓发展情况也是我们需要关注的要点。

美元兑日元的上涨，带动了欧元兑日元进一步往高位运行—但仍然需要更多一些的推动，否则价格将重回下行趋势，但也可能是出现更长时期的横向运行区间。鉴于欧元兑美元似乎出现进一步下跌，我们需要观察美元兑日元所起的催化情况，但不确定是否会快速启动行情。我需要在美元兑日元的结构方面增加补充，货币对价格运行情况极度异常，并倾向于给我的感觉并不具备建设性--即使我把价格反弹视作潜在的推动来考虑。

总体而言，这确实意味着，今天可能又是复杂的一天…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

More caffeine!

Oh, for goodness sake… ply the market with caffeine – or even a copious supply of energy drinks. This is just awful. You’ve heard of the foxtrot? Well, I think the market is dancing to the funeral dirge. It’s enough to make me sleep 26 hours a day…

Rant over. At least we’re basically seeing what I have been looking for – but just so slowly. Will the pace accelerate? I’m ptty sure that it will not, but still maintains the pace of a group who carries the coffin. Of all, it was GBPUSD that made a more defined move but looks like it had a sudden gush of blood to its brain. As such, it tends to suggest a deeper pullback. At the same time it looks as if EURUSD and USDCHF will continue their Dollar bullish trend but I can’t say that either of the two Continentals will provide the same effort as the Pound…

The Aussie, having reached the first reversal target, stalled and saw its recycling - that was always a strong risk. Whether it will provide the same effort as GBPUSD or the slothful progress of the Continentals is something we shall have to observe…

USDJPY made further gains and drag EURJPY higher – and still needs to push a little more else it will return to the downside but probably in a longer sideways range. Given that EURUSD appears to require further losses we shall have to observe USDJPY for the catalyst but I’m not sure it’ll do so quickly. I should add that the structure in USDJPY is extremely unusual and does tend to give me the feeling that it’s not really constructive – even if I have treated this rally as potentially impulsive.