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结构形态缓慢的发展是最难以判断的环节。在狭小的空间里,有太多细小的价格迂回,上涨和下跌走势。但至少方向是稳定的,并且总体上也给予了美元的上涨空间。即使美元兑日元也出现较大幅度的上行并尝试回到上周四的高位。我想自信地说今天的走势将会有更多进展…但我办不到。然而,在欧元兑美元,美元兑瑞士法郎的价格运行情况上,我们至少接近了首个反转目标,虽然英镑兑美元仍然要些时间,
“然而”…拥有其中一个“然而”总是有好处的...一个潜在的积极结果是美元持续的上行走势已挑战了4小时级别的价格均衡云图。这已经出现了一些试探性的进展,试图展现美元突破上方看涨的价格云图压制。至少,倾向于提示一个积极的结果,但美元需要更多的运行活力以便尽可能地加速运行…可能出现的是,在欧盘开市之前,不会有更多的后续发展。
即使美元兑日元已设法进一步往周四高点靠近,并且实际上也协助了欧元兑日元往更高的点位运行发展-或者更多的横向震荡整理走势发展。美元兑日元在4小时的价格均衡云图中也体现了上行破位并陷入未确定走势当中。有些神秘的价格结构从110.97低位开始形成,并伴随一个日线级别的看涨背离信号,结合足够的价格运行量能,我们观察一下看看价格能上行到哪个高点。这令欧元兑日元处于令人困惑的状态,价格出现轻微的背离但可能会忽然出现改变,转变成比较复杂的结构。我建议小心处理交叉货币对,结合大周期走势情况来看,提示将出现一个长期,复杂的横向整理走势。
今天仍采用稳定埃迪的交易模式,除非市场忽然活跃起来…
祝交易顺利。
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
A pponderance of lethargy
Ultra-slow development in a structure is one of the most difficult to judge. There are too many mini-minor twists and turns, ups and downs and in my lady’s chamber. At least the direction was consistent and provided gains in the Dollar overall. Even USDJPY managed to take a deep breath and tried to make it back towards last Thursday’s high. I’d like to say with confidence that today could be more progressive… but I can’t. However, we are, at least, approaching the first reversal targets in EURUSD, USDCHF – although GBPUSD still has a way to go.
However… and it’s always good to have one of those “howevers”… a potentially positive outcome was the persistent Dollar gains that have challenged the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds. This has seen tentative steps in attempting to see Dollar bullish breaks of these Clouds. At least, it tends to suggest a positive outcome but the Dollar needs to be a little more feisty to increase any possible acceleration… It’s probably likely that there’ll not be much follow-through until the European session.
Even USDJPY has managed to approach last Thursday’s high and actually helped EURJPY to edge higher – or more in a choppy sideways move. This has seen USDJPY break above the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud and into an unknown. The structure since the 110.97 low is somewhat cryptic but with a daily bullish divergence, along with positive momentum we need see how high this can go. This places EURJPY in a puzzling moment that had been looking slightly bearish but may well suddenly see the structure morph into a more complicated structure. I’d suggest care with the cross with the larger picture suggesting a long, messy sideways move.
Steady Eddie trading again today unless the market suddenly comes alive…
Good trading
Ian Copsey