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欧元兑日元日内走势预测
日内图
BIAS:恢复跌势之前,延续横向盘整走势
|
阻力位 |
125.76-80 |
126.13-43 |
126.61 |
126.90 |
|
支撑位 |
125.50-54 |
125.09 |
124.73 |
124.51 |
主要分析:今天美元兑日元和欧元兑美元的走势发展曲折,呈现的联动情况较缓慢。似乎要发展成三角形之类的整理形态,意味着将会出现较长时期的横向走势,波动区间范围在122.06和127.28之间。现在我们需要尝试明确的是,更大级别,更复杂的修正行情的出现。目前应出现三角形态中的最后一个价格腿,为了恢复下跌走势,价格将重回126.13-43区间。同时需要日元或者欧元提供其价格运行进展的动力。一旦价格失守125.09,将会出现进一步下跌。
反向分析:如价格突破126.61上方,将有继续上行测试上方127.30高位的压力。如价格突破该阻力后或会再进一步上涨。在这一点上我选择保持中立态度看待。下破125.54-66将有助于价格继续下行到125.09-20区间。
中期分析:3月18日:看起来似乎在浪[iv]上将会出现一个复杂的修正走势。可以是平台型,延展平台型或者三角形,走势情况需要时间展现出来…
祝交易顺利。
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR EURJPY
INTRADAY CHART:
BIAS: Initial development should be sideways before losses resume
Resistance: 125.76-80 126.13-43 126.61 126.90
Support: 125.50-54 125.09 124.73 124.51
MAIN ANALYSIS: That was a difficult day with both USDJPY and EURUSD generally moving in rough tandem. It appears this is developing in a triangle and as such, what it implies is that we shall see a long period of sideways trading between 122.06 and 127.28. What we need now is to try and identify the larger complex correction. For now we should see the final leg of a triangle back to the 126.13-43 area for losses to resume. We shall have to see which (or both) of JPY or EUR that drives that process. Once below 125.09 we should see further slippage lower...
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only an earlier break above 126.61 would pssure the 127.30 high. If this breaks it would annoy. I'd pfer to remain neutral at that point to assess the individual pairs. A break below 125.54-66 would assist lower and back to 125.09-20 at least…
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
18th March: It looks like we're going to see a complex correction in the Wave [iv]. Which of a flat, expanded flat or triangle it will be needs more development....
Good trading
Ian Copsey