稳定交易--行情走势预测

稳定交易--行情走势预测

昨天的行情并没有出现太大的惊喜。市场才刚刚开始平复继欧央行声明之后的紧张神经，或许仍需要多一天左右的时间，以便更明确的结果发展。从我的角度来看，重要的是确保形态结构的发展，以及如何令较高较低级别的浪型整合起来。昨天的情况较为明显，相比欧系货币美元兑瑞士法郎和英镑兑美元，美元的上行幅度较大。或许还不是特别明显，但考虑到这些价格运行表现将透过投影比例被进一步放大，总体而言指向一个更加弱势的欧元兑美元走势发展。

话虽如此，我并不真正认为今天会出现一个加速发展的行情，更可能的情况是出现类似昨日的盘面走势情况。但是，应小心今天之后（预期）价格随后出现反抽。甚至在英镑兑美元方面会出现走势放缓的风险—虽然在价格破位下行之前并没有太多的运行空间。这在某些货币对之间是相当不寻常的关系，甚至澳元兑美元，此时仍没看出准备进一步下行的迹象。因此，我并不会感到意外如澳元兑美元今天出现上涨的情况。

日元货币对出现下跌走势符合预期。价格的下跌并没有什么特别之处，但实际上提供了发展的基础。我怀疑这些货币对现在将会寻求下行发展，但我们必须要等待，并观察价格走势发展如何变的更坚定和有建设性。欧元兑日元会进一步下行，同时也需要价格修正，目前看价格修正不会有太大幅度。

今天的行情发展应该是稳定的……

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Steady trading

No great surprises yesterday. The market is only just beginning to calm its frayed nerves following the ECB announcement and this will probably still need another day or so for a more definitive outcome develops. From my perspective it’s all a matter of making sure of the structures and how they integrate through the lower and higher wave degrees. It was particularly noticeable yesterday that the Dollar made more gains against the Euro compared with USDCHF and GBPUSD. Perhaps that’s not particularly significant but considering these moves will be amplified through the projection ratios it points to a much weaker EURUSD overall.

Having said that, I’m not really expecting any real acceleration today but more likely a similar day to yesterday. However, we shall have to watch out for a pullback following today’s (expected) follow-through. There is even a risk of GBPUSD baulking the trend – although there’s not any room before it is at risk of breaking down. Such is the rather unusual relationships between some of these pairs that even AUDUSD does not yet look ready to see further losses at this time. Thus, it would not surprise me to see AUDUSD making gains today.

The JPY pairs managed to see losses as I had expected. There was nothing outstanding about the decline but has actually provided a base to build on. I suspect both of these pairs will be looking to the downside now but we’ll have to wait and see how robust and constructive this turns out to be. EURJPY managed to extend losses and while a correction is required, I can’t see it being too deep.

It should be a steady day today…

Good trading

Ian Copsey