英镑兑美元日内走势预测

英镑兑美元日内走势预测

日内图表

BIAS：总体下行风险加大（1.4180-90下方），但不排除出现如昨天一样的另一个延展平台走势。

主要原因分析：价格运行到这个点位时，并没有选择跟随欧元兑美元的下行走势方向发展。不排除出现进一步横向整固走势的可能，价格或会触及1.4259-74区间的高点。不过，价格突破下方1.4190-00区间应能避免出现横向整固走势。如价格下破1.4190，价格将至少下跌到1.4133-40区间，或者去到1.4107。在研判价格会否出现修正性质或者推动性质的下行走势方面有些难度，当价格开始出现下跌时，这将研判为下行走势发展。

反向分析：价格突破上方1.4259-74，接近或有可能突破1.4283，将意味着后续在与1.4306-40区间之间的空间是首要考虑的价格运行到达区域。如价格意外站上1.4350上方将维持上行走势。

中期分析：

3月7日：对于价格的修正幅度略感到意外。不过，在出现价格修正回到1.42-1.43区间（大约估算）之前，我觉得价格运行已经到了有限的区域范围，价格在此区域完成修复并会出现下跌到新低点的走势…

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:        Overall the downside has more risk (below 1.4180-90) but I can't rule out another flat day like yesterday

Resistance:    1.4215-20       1.4240-46       1.4259    1.4274-83

Support: 1.4190-00       1.4173    1.4133-40       1.4107

MAIN ANALYSIS:     Price here chose not to follow the lead of EURUSD in losses. I can't rule out further consolidation that could reach as high as 1.4259-74. However, a break below 1.4190-00 would avoid the consolidation sccenario. On the assumption that price breaks below 1.4190 we should see losses down to 1.4133-40 at least - possibly to 1.4107. It's a little difficult to judge this in working out whether we shall see a corrective decline or impulsive and that will need to be judged as losses develop.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:     It will take a break above 1.4259-74 to approach and possibly break the 1.4283 to suggest follow-through to between the 1.4306-40 area being a prior gap. Above 1.4350 would surprise and maintain the upside.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

7th March:   I am quite surprised by the depth of the correction. However, I feel we have reached that finite area into which recover and MUST now see losses to a new low... before seeing a correction back into the 1.42-1.43 area (as an estimate.)

Good trading

Ian Copsey