走势稳定的一天--市场走势预测

总的来讲，我对市场昨天的走势发展情况表示满意。之前提及过4小时价格均衡云图压制了美元的上行，这种情况也同样出现在欧元兑美元，英镑兑美元和美元兑瑞士法郎的盘面上，但美元兑瑞士法郎的价格运行有出现上行突破上方压制的情况。这往往意味着欧元兑美元和英镑兑美元也会有潜在的第二次上行试探，价格尝试穿越云图压制，同时结合价格运行的量能考虑，需要警惕今天或出现破位的机会。即便如此，这些价格运行情况也是坚定走势方向的基础。

对于英镑兑美元，从1.3835低位开始展开跌势修复的走势情况，令我感到有些担心。一般情况下，对于正常修正行情来讲，这种价格运行情况对于当下价格所处的位置来讲，显得过于强势，怀疑不久之后价格会出现下跌，我还是不太相信当下价格会有如此强烈的运行表现。或许这是一个需要避免操作的货币对。

澳元延续上行的走势情况符合预期，但之后行情将陷入一个更震荡多变的走势当中—基本上仍然保持上行方向但并不是强势上行。我倾向于建议先观望，等待合适时机再考虑进场。

昨天美元兑日元出现了另一个选项发展情况。对此我有一些保留意见，价格运行确实突破了之前锁定的支撑位。在这种情况下，可以允许欧元兑日元进一步下行到更低点位，但在今天行情结束之前，价格在稍后时段会上行到更高点位。结合美元兑日元展现的明显弱势，价格有下行的风险但目前还没有打破下方支撑。不过，我暂时还没发现美元兑日元比欧元兑美元出现更强的涨势信号。因此需要谨慎处理…

交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Another steady day?

Overall I am quite satisfied with how things developed yesterday. I mentioned the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds were capping the Dollar and this continued to be the case for EURUSD and GBPUSD but USDCHF managed to break above. This tends to suggest the potential for EURUSD and GBPUSD to have a second attempt to reverse through these Clouds and with momentum conditions tending to provide the opportunity for a break today we should be on alert. Even then, this is basically building the foundation for a firmer directional move.

I do have some concerns over GBPUSD that extended the recovery from the 1.3835 low. This appears to be too strong for a normal correction in the current position and while I suspect we’ll begin to see losses before too long, I’m not yet convinced that it will provoke a strong reaction. This is probably a pair to avoided…

The Aussie extended the upside as expected but we should be heading into a period of more whippy and erratic development – still basically on the upside but hardly in a robust trend. I would tend to suggest holding off for the right time to pick a trade.

The alternative outcome in USDJPY developed yesterday. I had some reservations here and it did break the support level I pointed out. This allowed EURJPY to drift lower but then later move back higher towards the end of the day. With the apparent weakness being displayed in USDJPY there are some downside risks but it hasn’t yet quite broken down. However, I can’t see any gains in USDJPY being stronger than EURUSD. There is therefore still need for caution…

Good trading

Ian Copsey