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BIAS:价格延续上行,至少上行到115.12,也可能进一步触及115.53。
|
阻力位 |
113.70-80 |
114.05 |
114.25 |
114.55 |
|
支撑位 |
113.14-21 |
112.90-02 |
112.65-70 |
112.45-50 |
主要分析:昨天早盘时段,价格上行到114.50-61—走势情况符合预期—从此点位开始下行修正到113.35-40区间,但之后进一步下行至113.21。这个较深度的修正似乎会成为计算考量的一个因素,事实上价格仍然维持看涨趋势。因此,当价格在113.14-21区间受到支撑时,价格应会继续延续上行,往114.55高点运行,之后会触及到两个潜在目标之一,第一个目标是115.12,第二个目标是115.53。目前未能确定会到达哪一个目标,除非在价格发展过程中出现一些较低级别浪型发展。有两个可能性—将会出现下一个关键目标投影区域,位于114.98或者115.24。价格在此会经历超过100点的较大幅度修正。如价格能维持在114.98投影目标区域运行,那么之后就有可能触及115.12投影目标,而如果价格触及115.24的话,价格就会进一步运行到115.53目标位置。
反向分析:价格只要直接跌破113.00-10下方,就需要提起关注,这或是提示价格将会出现复杂修正走势的信号。最好是保持中立的态度,直到更明确的信号出现。如价格运行在112.85-90下方则意味着,将会进一步下行到112.45-50和112.15范围。
祝交易顺利。
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR USDJPY
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: Look for gains to reach 115.12 at least - possibly 115.53
Resistance: 113.70-80 114.05 114.25 114.55
Support: 113.14-21 112.90-02 112.65-70 112.45-50
MAIN ANALYSIS: Yesterday's early trading did see gains to 114.50-61 - as expected - from where the correction moved back to 113.35-40 - but then extended to 113.21. This deeper retracement appears to be a factor of the count and actually still retains a bullish outlook. Thus, while 113.14-21 supports we should now make our way higher to the 114.55 high and later to reach one of two potential targets, the first at 115.12 and the second at 115.53. Until we see the lower degree development I do not know which of the two it will be. There are two possibilities - that will see the next key projection between 114.98 or 115.24. Here we'll suffer another deeper correction of just over 100 points. If the 114.98 projection holds then the 115.12 projection is more likely while if the projection reached 115.24 then we'll see the 115.53 projection.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only directly below 113.00-10 would concern and perhaps suggest an alternative complex correction. It would be best to remain neutral until there are greater indications. Below 112.85-90 would suggest a reversal back to 112.45-50 and 112.15.
Good trading
Ian Copsey