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日内图
BIAS:今天的价格运行或会延续下跌,但注意潜在横向整理走势的出现。
|
阻力位 |
1.1030 |
1.1046-52 |
1.1076 |
1.1094 |
|
支撑位 |
1.0970-78 |
1.0957 |
1.0923-36 |
1.0900-10 |
主要分析:价格走势出现第二轮下跌,一直运行到低于1.0960-65目标区域3个点的位置。从该区域价格出现反抽,上行到1.1046以完成3浪的修复走势。目前已经出现发展3浪修复走势的细微迹象,同时也增加了复杂修正走势出现的风险。因此,价格将至少下跌到1.0970-78区域-这意味着或会出现三角形整理,但也可能是价格再次测试1.0957(平台整理)或者甚至上行到延展平台的上限1.0923-36区间。如出现平台或者延展平台浪,之后价格将重回1.1046-52区间。
反向分析:价格直接下破1.0920,意味着后续行情会继续走低,甚至会触及到1.0849-76区域—但只作为修正走势看待。
因此,我们需要细心观察,关注价格运行的量能并采取相应的操作方案…
祝交易顺利。
伊恩•科普塞
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: We should see losses today but note the potential for a sideways consolidation
Resistance: 1.1030 1.1046-52 1.1076 1.1094
Support: 1.0970-78 1.0957 1.0923-36 1.0900-10
MAIN ANALYSIS: We did see the second decline move down to 3 points below the 1.0960-65 target area. From there the pullback reached 1.1046 to complete a 3-wave recovery. This now has a slight ambiguity in that the 3-Wave recovery does raise the risk of a complex correction. Thus, we should see losses down to 1.0970-78 at least - this implying a triangle but the alternative could be a retest of 1.0957 (flat correction) or even 1.0923-36 being the limits of an expanded flat. If a flat/ expanded flat is seen, then we could see a recycling back to the 1.1046-52 area.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: A direct break below 1.0920 would imply follow-through lower that should eventually reach 1.0849-76 - but just for a correction.
Thus, we need to be observant, watch momentum and react to the alternatives…
Good trading
Ian Copsey