稳定埃迪型交易—市场行情走势预测

有时候我对等待市场交易机会的到来感到有些厌倦。最近，市场波动较小，显得枯燥无趣，偶尔还会出现滞缓现象，但这个过程中也出现了一些有建设性意义的行情发展信号，并在逐渐发挥作用。很快全球股指应会开始苏醒—还没有完全开始，但所发出的信号具备建设性意义。同样地，美元指数似乎也在酝酿更强的潜在运行方向。但今天可能不会出现这类行情，明天也不太可能，但下周之前相关的市场信号将会更加明显。

至于今天？我怀疑会出现一个偏向温和的市场发展状况，但更多的可能是出现修正行情，这些情况似乎更符合防守型预期。这也意味着价格运行或会回归到近期的震荡整固区间，并且目前应会维持这种状态不变。因此，似乎今天出现价格大幅波动的风险较小。

美元兑日元目前出现了一个较长的下行通道。价格运行维持在这个通道内1-2天或更长时间的情况并不会令我感到意外。无需多说，当价格运行到底部位置将触发更可靠的走势方向。总的来讲，4小时的价格均衡云图与价格走势非常靠近，这往往意味着任何时候都可能出现破位。这些价格表现反映不仅仅出现在美元兑日元上，也出现在3大欧系货币里，还有欧元兑日元。

因此，对于关键的支撑阻力位置要保持敏锐细致的观察，价格的破位表现将令今天的行情重回震荡区间..

祝交易顺利。           

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Steady Eddie trading

Sometimes I get tired of waiting for the market to get in with trading. Recently it has been ptty boring and occasionally stagnant but there are signs of a more progressive development beginning to evolve. We should soon see global indices begin to wake up – not quite yet, but the signs are constructive. Likewise, the Dollar does appear to be creating the potential for a stronger directional move. It’s not going to happen today, probably not tomorrow either, but by next week there could be signs of the market hotting up.

Today? Well, I suspect a modest move but probably more corrective and that is likely to retain a defensive outlook. This suggests a return into the recent consolidation zone and that should maintain the status quo for now. Therefore, there seems to be little risk of sharp moves today.

We have a long descending channel in USDJPY at this point. It wouldn’t surprise me that it could retain that channel for a day or two more. Needless to say, breech will trigger a firmer move. Overall, the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds are courting price very closely and that tends to suggest a break can occur at any time. This is reflective of not just USDJPY but all three Europeans, the Aussie and EURJPY.

Thus, maintain a keen eye for the break levels that will take us back into the range today…

Good trading

Ian Copsey