欧元兑日元日内走势预测

欧元兑日元日内走势预测

日内图

BIAS：基本看法是价格出现反弹至129.00-40区间，但在到达这个目标区间之前，价格会出现些起伏情况

主要分析：价格没有创出高点并会下行更低位置。价格触及126.61后上行至127.31点位。这段走势相当接近127.34高点但显得并不够关键。从此处应该会出现价格下行至126.61下方并或会进一步抵达126.25-36区间。观察是否出现看涨反转信号。如有信号出现，则应该会出现价格反弹走势，反弹目标大概位于129.00-40区间。

反向分析：任何较强的初级价格推动至127.40上方，或会有进一步推动上行至127.80-00区间的风险，在触及更高点位129.00-40区间之前，价格会稍回落至127.00-30（以形成不规则三角形形态）。

跌破126.20下方，或会出现更深度的下行至125.76位置，个人觉得至少会下行到125.10—并且也要关注124.72的投影目标…

中期分析：

2月4日：行情看起来似乎已经处于往更低位置发展的轨道上。一旦欧元兑美元突破阻力应会带动价格往更低位置运行。价格在128.00-50区间可能稍有停留，但稍后应会出现下行至126.16的走势，下方极限目标在120.38-121.11。但这需要出现符合预期的价格下行走势以作配合。

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:        The underlying view is for a rally to 129.00-40 but there are several scenarios before reaching this target

Resistance:    127.34    127.80-00       128.16-26       128.49

Support: 126.61    126.25-36       125.76    125.20-25

MAIN ANALYSIS:       No additional highs and a move lower. This has reached 126.61 from where a recovery back to 127.31 has been seen. This is rather close to the 127.34 high but may not be an issue. From here we should see a decline below 126.61 and to the 126.25-36 area. Observe for bullish reversal indications. If seen then we should see the rally resume and approach the 129.00-40 area.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:     Any initial stronger push above 127.40 would risk a move up to 127.80-00 for a final dip to 127.00-30 (to complete an irregular triangle) before higher to 129.00-40.

A break below 126.20 would see deeper losses back to 125.76 and I feel down to 125.10 at least - and note the 124.72 projection also…

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

4th February:  It certainly looks as if we're on our way lower already. Once EURUSD has topped out it should lead price here lower. Initially the 128.00-50 area is likely to hold but later see losses below 126.16 with a downside limit at 120.38-121.11. However, this will require ratification from the decline...

Good trading

Ian Copsey