英镑兑美元日内走势预测

日内图

BIAS:  行情或需要下行到1.4240-70区域

主要分析：

曾留意到价格从1.4148点位开始展开反弹的不确定性，昨天较深度的价格反抽至1.4325并随后创出一个新高点，如果仅依据一点，脑海中出现另外一个可能选项，那就是一个5浪结构的价格运行。这意味着今天将会是看跌的走势，并且我怀疑价格会下行至1.4240-70区间（允许触碰到1.4218），当价格到达这个区间时，注意是否有看涨反转的信号的出现，之后价格或会上行到1.4445并且稍后—明天或者周五—价格将运行到1.4526。

反向分析：价格上破1.4480，将面临进一步上行到1.4526高位—但需要注意价格运行的动能情况。

需要关注价格有下破1.4218下方的可能，但这不一定是负面的影响。只有当价格运行低于1.4148，才会展开一段下行走势

1月25日：然而我仍保留更低的预期价格目标，似乎仍会出现修正周五价格上涨的风险。修正的幅度暂时还没确定，并且更多的是取决于，周五价格会否进一步上行至更高点位以保持价格上行的推动幅度......

祝交易顺利。

伊恩•科普塞伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY OUTLOOK FOR GBPUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:       I feel we need a decline to the 1.4240-70 area

MAIN ANALYSIS:     Well, that didn't work out. I did note uncertainties in the rally from 1.4148 and yesterday's deeper pullback to 1.4325 and followed by a new high - if by only one point - suggested an alternative I had in my mind - that of a 5-wave move. This will mean that today should be bearish and I suspect down to the 1.4240-70 area. (allow for 1.4218.) As this area is approached, watch for bullish reversal indications for gains to move back to 1.4445 and later - tomorrow or Friday - to around 1.4526.
COUNTER ANALYSIS:    Any break above 1.4480 would risk follow-through to 1.4526 - but then take care and note momentum conditions.

A break below 1.4218 would be concerning but not necessarily negative. Only a break below the 1.4148 low would confirm more direct losses. 

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:    

25th January:  While I still have lower targets, there appears to still be a risk of a correction following Friday's gains. The depth of the correction is not really known and much depends on whether Friday's move higher will retain an impulsive move... 

Good trading
Ian Copsey