欧元兑美元行情走势预测

欧元兑美元行情走势预测

日内图

BIAS：预期今天价格会继续下行

主要分析：突破1.0859后，会延续下行到1.0777，随后或会回抽至1.0899。这是一个回撤较深的（较低级别）浪B / III，价格应会下行到1.0777下方或进一步到1.0746-58。这将需要出现大约65个点左右的修正，随后价格再下行到1.0727。在这个点位上，应会出现另一个修正走势，大约40-60个点左右，然后再会下行到1.0662，或稍低于该目标位。到此阶段应观察是否有反转到更高点的看涨信号。过程中价格的运行或会形成（首要考虑）下行三角的形态。

反向分析：价格若重新回到1.0905-20上方将导致结构破败，并可能进一步走高至1.0975-92。价格只有企稳1.0975-92后，将进一步挑战1.1059高点。

中期分析：

1月12日：虽然更高级别结构的预期目标都可能相同，昨天的深度回调表明在本月余下时间内，出现复杂的横向整理走势的可能性加大。可能是以三角形整理形态或者平台整理形态（或是延展平台形态）的方式展现，在此，应该关注下行趋势的情况并希望能发展出更强的结构形态。也就意味着仅能考虑短线交易机会。

祝交易顺利。

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:         We should see losses today

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The 1.0859 break saw follow-through to 1.0777 - but then whipped back up to 1.0899. This was a deep (lower degree) Wave b / iii and should now move down to below 1.0777 and to 1.0746-58. This will require a correction of around 65 points approx and for losses to then reach 1.0727. Here we should see another correction - around 40-60 points approx - for losses down to 1.0662 but allow for a margin below. Watch for bullish reversal indications for a reversal higher. This should form the (anticipated) triangle low. 
COUNTER ANALYSIS:Only back above 1.0905-20 would frustrate and could push back higher to 1.0975-92. Only above would challenge the 1.1059 high.
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

12th January: While the higher degree targets are likely to be the same, yesterday's deeper correction it suggests we're more likely to see a complex sideways move for the rest of this month. It could be a triangle or perhaps a flat correction (or expanded flat?) At this point, we should focus more on the downside and hopefully a stronger structure will develop. This suggests taking short term trades only.

Good trading
Ian Copsey