有冲突的结构形态--行情走势预测

有冲突的结构形态

我不确定现在我们所看到的是结构形态还是些拼图。现在的情况无疑是一个复杂的修正发展时期，同时市场试图作出下一步修复运行的尝试被多次挫败。事实上，在一些结构里也发现有模棱两可的现象，价格在多空两个方向都有可能发展。话虽如此，但我对最终出来的结果还是很有信心的。

另外，需要关注盘面是否会出现往预期更大级别方向的后续发展，或者在震荡走势结束之前出现最后一轮回调。

即便如此，这仅将意味着我们会深入发掘出更大级别的修正结构…

因此，建议采取耐心的方式对待，并明白当结构被破败后价格将指向另一个发展方向。价格未运行到这些点位前，最好坐下来观察价格的运行情况，错综复杂的风险或会以快速的价格穿刺方式触发止损令你的交易单子离场。

澳元兑美元的价格运行算是有点像样—即使是运行在自有的修正结构形态当中。该货币对将仍需要谨慎处理，但个人感觉价格需要被推动到稍微更高一点的位置。欧元兑日元在昨日的下跌之后，也有运行到更高点位的发展潜能。运行动能来自美元兑日元的走势情况，注意欧元兑美元的走势有不明确的情况。欧元兑日元价格运行确实需要上破4小时级别的价格均衡云图。

简单来讲，总体不够明朗，需要谨慎看待行情的发展。

祝交易顺利。

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Conflicting patterns

I’m not sure we’re seeing patterns or puzzles. It sure has been a complicated period of corrective development and attempting to try and resolve the most likely next move has been thwarted several times. Indeed, I can see ambiguities in many of the structures that could go either way. Having said that, I’m ptty confident of the final outcome. More, it’s whether we see direct follow-through in the expected larger degree direction or see one final pullback before it all takes off.

Even then, it will only mean that we dig deeper into a larger corrective structure… 

It therefore suggests application of patience and understanding where one scenario breaks down and points to the alternative. Until that point it could be best to sit and observe - with the risk of complications that can whip you out as quick as a minor blip.

If there is one pair that could see a decent move, then it’s AUDUSD – even if it is in its own corrective pattern. It will still require care but I sense that it needs to push a little higher. EURJPY also has potential to move higher following yesterday’s drop. The driver will most likely be USDJPY but keep note of EURUSD that is in that group of ambiguity. However, the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud in EURJPY does need to be penetrated

So, a short outlook, not totally clear so do take care.

Good trading

Ian Copsey