窄幅整理--行情走势预测

行情震荡，有点令人窒息的感觉。仅有澳元能打破过去3天的盘整区间，但交易获利空间非常小。更重要的是，周一是美国银行的假期，根据现在结构所在的位置，今天能打破区间的机会非常有限…

同时，股指的波动状况可能仍会持续。在这个熊市环境里出现了与预期相符的走势并清晰指示大致的目标。平静的外汇市场状况和疯狂的股指走势相结合的综合体，我并没有期望两者能在下周的时间里进行各自分类归整，除非股指开始横向走势。即使之后外汇市场的价格运行有破位现象出现，后续仍会有更大盘整区间出现的风险。

因此今天较难得出精准的分析。更重要的是要清楚区间范围的限制点位，有效破位将触发更强的后续发展。正如上述提及，怀疑今天不会出现攻破这些价格区间的价格走势。

因此，最好的建议是寻找刮头皮的交易机会，并只有当区间边沿线被有效打破后，再寻找明朗的方向布置交易，即便如此，后续利润空间可能也是有限的。

祝拥有美好的周末长假。

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Constriction

Yikes, what a mess. It’s a bit like being strangled. Only the Aussie managed to break the range of the past 3 days – and only by a mini-minor margin at that. What’s more, with Monday being a U.S. bank holiday – and the structures currently in place - I see only a limited chance that we’ll break that range today…

Meanwhile, it’s the indices that are providing the volatility and this looks like continuing also. The bearish markets we are seeing have been expected and the rough targets are clearly indicated. The combination of the static Forex market and wild indices should sort themselves out over the course of the coming week – unless the indices start moving sideways – which is not really expected. Even following the break on Forex there’s a risk that larger range trading can develop…

It’s therefore really difficult to generate pcise analysis today. What is more important is understanding where the limits of the range will be – and that breaks will trigger a stronger follow-through. However, as mentioned above, I doubt we’ll see those ranges broken today.

Therefore the best advice is to looking for scalping trades and only if the range boundaries break look for a more directional move – although even then I think the follow-through could be limited…

Have a great long weekend

Ian Copsey