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外汇交易评论:欧元兑美元行情走势预测

 

外汇交易评论:欧元兑美元行情走势预测

日内图

BIAS:反弹目标至少看到1.0877-87,进一步目标或看到1.0945-50

阻力位

1.0855-60

1.0877-87

1.0910-25

1.0945-50

支撑位

1.0802

1.0785

1.0757-66

1.0705-10

主要原因分析:下行走势比预期略强,下破1.0840-55区间后,在1.0795低位上方止跌。目前应能看到较强的修正走势。第一目标是1.0877-87区间,或可能稍高于或稍低于这个区间。也有进一步修正到1.0910-25区间的风险,最大反弹目标在1.0945-50区间。因此从1.0900上方开始留意看跌反转信号。

注意事项:修正行情以3浪形式发展(与美元兑瑞士法郎和英镑兑美元一致),需要留意出现复杂修正走势的风险平台浪或扩展平台浪的发展形式,这种情况很可能出现,因目前日线均衡云图指标显示价格运行得到支撑并略倾向上升,可能需要12天来平复价格走势。

反向分析:只有上破1.0980后,才有上探1.1011高位的可能。如果价格进一步上破阻力,则看阻力目标1.1030-37区间和1.1059

中线分析:1217日,似乎已经看到价格运行的高点,现在需要确定下行到1.0539价位的基础浪。若价格重回到1.1059上方,则需要警惕。

祝交易顺利。

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威


原文:

DAILY FORECAST FOR EURUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:  We should see a correction back to 1.0877-87 at least - possibly as much as 1.0945-50

Resistance:

1.0855-60

1.0877-87

1.0910-25

1.0945-50

Support:

1.0802

1.0785

1.0757-66

1.0705-10

MAIN ANALYSIS:   Losses were stronger than expected - dipping through 1.0840-55 but but stalled just above the 1.0795 low. We should now see a correction higher. The first target should be the 1.0877-87 area and is likely to see a correction lower. It's not impossible that it could be THE high. However, there's probably more risk of a move to 1.0910-25 at least - and probably max around 1.0945-50. Thus from 1.0900 upwards observe for bearish reversal indications. 

NOTE: Should the correction develop in 3-waves (and replicated in USDCHF and GBPUSD) then note the risk of a complex correction - flat or expanded flat. This is quite possible because the daily Price Equilibrium Cloud is currently supporting price and rising mildly and may need a day or two to flatten out.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only a break above 1.0980 could threaten the 1.1011 high. If this breaks then note resistance at 1.1030-37 and 1.1059 high. 

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

17th December:  It looks like we've seen the high and now need to establish the foundation waves for losses that should move back to 1.0539...

Only back above 1.1059 will concern.

Good trading

Ian Copsey