外汇交易评论：利率公布后的行情走势预测

现在我们可以平静一些了吗？

 圣诞老人Janet (美联储主席)提前送了一份圣诞礼物给我们，但这份礼物包裹得很严实，上面有绳子，胶带，甚至连圣诞老人的发夹也被捆绑上去，不太好打开。谢谢Janet繁复的包装。但我仍然期待美元的持续上涨，但目前迫在眉睫的问题是需要正确拆开礼物的外包装…最不太可能是在亚盘时段去尝试触碰这个包裹，因此我们不得不等待欧盘时段的到来，看看是否可以看出些破绽。市场风险被进一步合并了。

 解决方法可能就是保持耐心并记住周末前两天的下行走势，然后对下周的走势更不感兴趣，或许在传包裹的游戏中，看到一些美元稳定上涨的走势，从而看出价格运行趋势。

 美元兑日元的表现看起来似乎已经加入了4人组合，包括欧元在内，在美元指数上行到98.90高位后，为了进一步攀升到100.51高位而出现的调整行情里，可以看到这些货币对出现相应的反弹走势。

 澳元的走势略显复杂，看起来仍然像是处于初步的价格整理阶段，在没出现突破关键支撑阻力位之前，我并不太热衷于关注这个货币对。在过去的一周左右的时间里，我一直保持着非常中立的态度，在没有看到更强的突破走势之前，我会一直保持这种方式。

 剩下的欧元兑日元，并没有看到明朗走势的信号，过去几天的调整行情相当温和。 结合欧元兑美元和美元兑日元的趋势，再对比美元的上行走势来看，这个货币对同样不太令人感兴趣。

交易顺利！

 伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

May we get some peace and quiet now?

Santa Janet gave us an early Christmas psent but it’s so well wrapped up with string, sticky tape and Santa’s hair caught in the binding that it’s impossible to open it. Thank you for that mess Janet. While I remain looking for the Dollar to continue rallying, we have the immediate problem of deciphering the corrective wrapping… Most likely Asia will not attempt to touch this wrapping and therefore we’re going to have to wait for Europe to come in, take a look and perhaps attempt an escape. The risk is further consolidation.

What may be the solution is patience and remembering that with two days of declining before the weekend, and further lack of interest into next week, the chance that we could see some steady Dollar gains in a game of pass the parcel that will provide a trend.

Even USDJPY appears to have joined the gang of four, to include the Europeans, to provide a correlated rally that should see the Dollar Index push above the 98.90 high and provide a basis for a move back to the 100.51 high.

The Aussie is a little more complicated. This still appears to be in a rough and ready consolidation and I’m not really too keen to dabble in this pair until it has begun to seeing breaks of either key highs or lows. I’ve been ptty neutral over the past week or so and until there’s a stronger break I’ll remain that way.

This leaves EURJPY remaining but frankly it hasn’t seen any flicker of a stronger flame. The past few days has seen a recovery but more in a lacklustre manner. With EURUSD and USDJPY tending to the Dollar upside it’s hard to get too excited about this pair either…

Good trading

Ian Copsey