每日预测：美元兑日元

当天计划

建议：理想情况下，我现在情愿看到至少拉升至123.75  -  124.25的走势

阻力：123.00 123.18 123.47 123.75

支持：122.71 122.56 122.22-25 121.95-00

主要原因分析：我一直建议我们应该把握上攻的运行，并且等待空头反转迹象。显然，跌破123.00则会给出其他的建议。然而，昨日的下跌鼓励我，发展将在3个波浪以内以及暗示三角形走势走至最后一程了。因此，我们现在应该看到预期的收益在123.75之上，但是从这一点位上可以看到下跌的反转迹象。最有可能的范围在123.75和124.24之间。有在124.52的较高估值，甚至高达124.86，但除非有刺激因素，要不这是不太可能的。

交易顺利！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR USDJPY

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:   Ideally I'd now like to see a move up to 123.75 - 124.25 at least

Resistance:      123.00      123.18      123.47      123.75

Support:   122.71      122.56      122.22-25         121.95-00

MAIN ANALYSIS:   I was correct in suggesting that we should let the upside run and wait for bearish reversal indications. Clearly, the break below 123.00 suggested otherwise. However, I am encouraged by yesterday's decline that developed in 3-waves and suggestive of the final leg of a triangle. Thus, we should now see the expected gains above 123.75 but from that point watch for bearish reversal indications. The most likely range is between 123.75 and 124.24. There are higher projections at 124.52 and even as high as 124.86 but unless there is a catalyst it's less likely.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  Only a break back below 122.50 would suggest direct losses although we may find the 122.22-25 lows providing temporary support. Below 122.22 would risk direct losses down to 121.50 at least… Breach would suggest deeper losses.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

9th December:  The rally from 120.15 has been a complicated affair and after exploring the structure on many occasions I tend to feel that we'll see a high around 123.75-124.25 (although there are stronger projections to as high as 124.86. This could complete a correction (double zigzag) but could end up moving to the 125.85 high. Thus the next move is important. Either way, this still suggests we shall need to see losses at some point...

Good trading