外汇评论：纠正的不确定性

不起眼可能是对于昨天的行情最恰当的描述。其实，这很可能也是一个合适今天的词- 也许是整周...也许是本月剩下的日子。该结构发展复杂是因为缺乏交易兴趣以及很容易犯错误。我还是觉得我上周五设想影像放大是完好的，虽然有几个选项还是可以继续发展的纠正模式，。欧元兑美元和美元兑瑞郎走势和我的怀疑结果非常相似。英镑兑美元可以做自己的事，但还是在复杂的校正。目前还没有在美元阻力区内发生与其一刀两断的货币对，而且确实引起了一个新的美元小幅低位的轻微风险。我开始考虑现在更高的概率在支持美元上涨，但它是我昨天提到的行情实际撤退中有用的关键水平。

最有可能的是，我们会看到另外一个缓慢的日子...

交易顺利~

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Corrective uncertainties

Unremarkable is probably an appropriate description of yesterday’s moves. Actually, it’ll probably be an appropriate word for today – maybe the entire week… maybe the rest of the month. The structural development is complex because of the lack of interest and it’ll be easy to make errors. I still feel the larger picture I envisaged on Friday is intact although there are several options for the corrective patterns that can develop. EURUSD and USDCHF appear ptty similar in terms of my suspected outcome. GBPUSD could do its own thing, although still within a complex correction. There hasn’t been a clean break of Dollar resistance areas in any of the pairs and that does raise a slight risk of a minor new Dollar low. I’m beginning to consider that the odds are more in favour of Dollar gains for now but it would be useful to have those critical levels I mentioned yesterday actually give way.

The Aussie didn’t go as planned. It hasn’t broken the upside I have been tentatively expecting but it’s not that far off. We really need some more constructive development to actually clarify its intent – something it has been avoiding for some while now. It’s still certainly a higher risk currency pair and not one I feel should be dabbled with until there has been a clearer break.

As for USDJPY, it was constructive in its rally although stalled at a lower projection. I can’t see massive moves in this pair for now and I suspect a relatively limited range for today once again. The combination of EURUSD and USDJPY consigned EURJPY to limited moves. The cross has potential for limited moves again today. There is potential for a Head and Shoulders to develop but we’ll need to exercise more patience to confirm this. Until then there are too many alternative options but which would then require observation of both EURUSD and USDJPY together.

Most likely we’ll see another slow day…

Good trading