外汇评论：无聊由此开始

我们在这里，距离圣诞老人用他巨大的口袋祝福我们还剩18天，而且他还把我预期的美元看涨后市抢走了，市场的流动性被吸在真空里，似乎没有办法，我们没有看到任何真正的交易兴趣，要持续至少一个月。这使了我们横盘区间交易可以持续整整一年。而且在我33年的外汇生涯中也从没有喜欢过它......

因此，我们开始了本周的模棱两可行情，正如我们刚刚结束的上周一样......鉴于我们很可能会看到的是投机倒腾，而不是趋势，所以最好还是寄希望于短线交易...

一周皆赚

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Here commenceth boredom

Here we are, 18 days before Santa blesses us with his enormous sack and having had the Dollar bullish outlook snatched from my grasp, market liquidity being sucked up in a vacuum, there appears to be no way that we’ll see any interest in real trading for another month at least. That has given us a whole year of sideways range trading. I don’t think I’ve seen anything quite like it in my 33 years in Forex…

The good news is that we can begin to relax a lot earlier but look forward to a more robust 2016… Having said that, while there should be a decent trend next year, it also promises to develop in quite wide swings. The initial trend next year should be a decent ride. That’s the good news but the resultant correction may well end up being extremely complicated.

But today and this week… Having seen a very muted response to the NFP but with limited gains in the Dollar that haven’t really broken some key levels, there is a slight ambiguity over whether we’ll see a marginal new Dollar low or plain extension of gains. I suspect we’ll see Dollar gains but do be aware of the limited Dollar downside risk. I suspect that GBPUSD will more likely remain below Thursday’s high.

The Aussie is in between a correction and follow-through higher – I suspect higher – but will need a move above Friday’s high to be certain.

As for USDJPY… Crikey, this is a difficult call. It seems to have been refusing to commit itself to either direction but at the same time, whichever way it breaks does still hold complications. This has really disappointed in terms of the 48-week cycle low although the bullish structure is a lot more difficult to justify than the bearish alternative. That EURJPY did bounce from the 129.65 level (potential for a triangle) but being in a particular position in a structure has possible outcomes on both sides of the market.

Hence, we start the week with the same ambiguity as we ended last week… Given that we’re likely to see scalping rather than trends, best look for quick trades…

Have a profitable week