外汇评论：惊喜礼包

这并不是我的预期......其实，对于几个星期后的行情，我做出的建议是低至1.06左右的为基础的恢复，但随即想到它可能实际移动会更深一点。耻辱的是，我没有对这意见的坚持......到底什么产生了一些短期的不确定性走向？可能会持续到到一天结束的时候 - 也许到周一。总体而言，它已经产生一些并发症，虽然在较大的日常结构上一切似乎都步入正轨。

因此，虽然今天有市场停滞的风险，保持你的眼睛紧盯澳元兑美元和欧元兑日元，一个更强有力的举措很可能会发展起来。

交易愉快！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Surprise package

Well that was not what I had expected… Actually, a couple of weeks back I did suggest the low 1.06’s as the base for a recovery but then thought it could actually move a bit deeper. It’s a shame that I didn’t stick with that… What this has generated is some short-term uncertainty that could last through to the end of the day – perhaps into Monday. Overall, it has generated some complications although within the larger daily structure everything appears to be on track.

This should still see some guarded development through the Asian session and probably Europe also – and mentioned above, possibly through Monday. Very much depends on whether the market has any enthusiasm as we go into the weekend. However, do keep in mind the Dollar upside and the potential for further gains if key resistance levels are taken out.

In AUDUSD, strength seen has reached an interesting area also and when considered within the larger picture the alternative count I have been suggesting does look quite interesting. I do find that the Aussie can lead the way – and perhaps this pair can provide a stronger broadcast of the next move.

That USDJPY also dropped much deeper than expected was a bit of a bummer. However, having gone through the spadsheet I can see sense in what has happened. This has a little duality as the day begins but probably it’ll be EURJPY that may be able to help us out. The Cross edged to a new corrective high – just a mere 6 points above 132.20. This could also provide some key information also.

Thus, while there is risk of a stagnant market today, do keep your eyes on AUDUSD and EURJPY to work out when a stronger move is likely to develop.

Have a great weekend

Ian Copsey