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本周几乎没有太多的兴奋,但它并没有真正的预期。我甚至不确定我们到周末会不会迎来不错的兴奋,虽然有一个轻微的机会在明天的下半日。这使得我们今天看到美元重复着过去一周同一类型的发展。今天开始时似乎有一个横向盘整的轻微风险 - 尽管在亚洲时段并不罕见 - 因此,它可能会延伸至欧洲时段范围。
再次 - 一个稳定的,但平平无奇的日子...
交易顺利!
伊恩.科普赛
英伦金融研究部高级顾问
国际贵金属外汇波浪权威
原文:
Building the final moves
There’s hardly been much excitement this week, but then it wasn’t really expected. I’m not even sure we’ll get too much excitement through to the weekend although there’s a slight chance by the second half of tomorrow. That leaves today seeing the Dollar repeating the same type of development that we’ve seen for the past week. There does seem to be a slight risk of a sideways move as the day starts – although not unusual in the Asian session – and therefore it’ll probably take Europe to push the ranges.
What has occurred is a flattening of the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds and a general attachment of price to their respective Clouds – occasionally swinging around the Clouds while the market grapples with indecision, probably due to a bulky position size.
I was rather disappointed with GBPUSD in particular yesterday. It hasn’t broken any key levels but the limitations it has tended to have a conflicting outlook with the Continentals. It could still develop independently but being so close to the 1.5262 high it does raise a little concern.
Equally, the Aussie dipped to a minor new low and has recovered. I’m not exactly comfortable with it but with the Dollar expected to have limited upside for now, it’s difficult to see the Aussie make a rush down lower. I still remain side lined in this pair waiting for a stronger signal.
As for USDJPY, well it hit the 123.75 target on the dot and also appears to have completed its correction. I think you can judge what the next move will be. Having said that, there are a few barriers on the way but which tend to suggest limited pullbacks. How this is going to impact on EURJPY with EURUSD looking lacklustre – but bearish – generates an element of uncertainty in the cross.
Once again – a steady but unexciting day…
Good trading
Ian Copsey