外汇评论：几乎实现…

作为一个处于校正的、超慢的、谨慎的和无私的市场，这真的很难产生发人深省的前景。这就像看着油漆变干;市场正在变得像一滩死水般毫无生气;杂草丛生;只等待某个政治家站出来发表常识...

另一方面，今天可能类似昨天但是我觉得欧元需要建立一个反转的停顿点。即使是这样，下面的逆转，我们仍需要新的基础波的作为跟进。因此，有一个相对窄幅波动的较强风险——当我们进入周末的时候...

周末愉快！

伊恩.科普赛

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

Almost there…

Being in a correction and in an ultra-slow, cautious and disinterested market, it’s really tough to generate thought provoking outlooks. It’s like watching paint dry; the market being as dull as ditch water; watching grass grow; waiting for a politician to utter common sense…

Yesterday, the market made the most of what was a relatively shallow correction by playing a game of “who can make the correction last the longest…” I’d really love to say that once this correction is complete that we should see a trend develop… but no, the reversal when it comes, will almost certainly make a pig’s ear of a supposed trend but it’s more likely to be the tail of the pig that is coiled and stubby.

That really is what I think is going to happen today. EURUSD and GBPUSD have developed well, the Swissie dipped deeper than expected and USDJPY did the same. Having said that, there is a need for EURJPY to edge higher. The cross annoyed yesterday because I thought we could see a more direct rally – but no – it had to form a minor new corrective low from where I still feel we’ll move to a new high in this correction. This begs the question of the balance between EURUSD and USDJPY and which will drive the cross higher. With EURUSD not really expected to shoot higher, it would appear that USDJPY will – or should – see some firmer gains today.

Otherwise today could be similar to yesterday but I feel the Europeans need to establish a stalling point for a reversal. Even then, following the reversal we shall need a new foundation wave for the follow-through. Thus, there is a strong risk of a relatively tight range as we go into the weekend…

Have a great weekend

Ian Copsey