每日预测：澳元兑美元

当天计划

建议：走势似乎被卡在两个场景之间

阻力：0.7151   0.7165   0.7175   0.7194

支持：0.7120-25   0.7097   0.7070-75   0.7035

主要原因分析：最终以短幅反弹收尾 - 未达到0.7182，然后我们看到亏损至0.7084。这并不是理想的回调 - 在0.7070-80区间。这仍不能达到令人满意的走势交替。同时也产生了两个备选方案：

 - 如果我们看到一个早期走高，从0.7122至0.7151上方，但围绕0.7165徘徊不前，那么我们应该从0.7084的反弹中看到一个深度调整  - 至少在66.7％-85.4％。从那里，第二个反弹能发展到理想的目标至0.7194-0.7231附近。这应该是一个高位，所以我们会看到损失再次开始。

交易顺利！

伊恩•科普塞

英伦金融研究部高级顾问

国际贵金属外汇波浪权威

原文：

DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD

INTRADAY CHART

BIAS:     This appears to be stuck between two scenarios

Resistance:      0.7151      0.7165      0.7175      0.7194

Support:   0.7120-25         0.7097      0.7070-75         0.7035

MAIN ANALYSIS:   The rally did end up short - not reaching 0.7182 which then saw losses to 0.7084. It wasn't the ideal retracement - which was at 0.7070-80. This fell short of satisfying alternation. This generates two alternatives:

- If we see an early push higher from 0.7122 to above 0.7151 but stalling around the 0.7165 high, then we should see a deep correction to the rally from 0.7084 - at least 66.7%-85.4%. From there a second rally can develop to the ideal target around 0.7194-0.7231. This should be the high and therefore we'll see the resumption of losses.

COUNTER ANALYSIS:  The alternative is a second dip to the 0.7070-80 area followed by a rally to the 0.7190 - 0.7231 area before losses. Only below 0.7060 would trigger direct losses.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

14th September:  The expected gains have been developing but seem unlikely to reach the 0.7265 area and I suspect now that the high will come around the 0.7200-35 area… From here we should see losses back below 0.6908.

Only above 0.7270 would concern - but still keep an eye on momentum just in case we're seeing a deeper correction.

Good trading